2022 NC Senate Race

2022 NC Senate Race

Summary

The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina is scheduled to be held November 8, 2022. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022, but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17, 2022.

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek re-election in 2022.

Primaries were held on May 17. Former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[3] and U.S. Representative Ted Budd won their respective primaries. At the North Carolina Republican Party convention on June 5, 2021, Budd received the endorsements of both Lara Trump and her father-in-law, former president Donald Trump. Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker has stated that he won a straw poll of those at the convention.

Three-term Republican Richard Burr was re-elected in 2016 with 51.0% of the vote. Burr has pledged to retire in 2022.

Veteran and senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, Mathew Hoh is running for senate with the Green Party.

U.S. Representative Ted Budd, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump, defeated former North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory in the Republican primary.

Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump and North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson considered running for U.S. Senate, but ultimately decided not to run.

Former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[146] defeated Beaufort mayor Rett Newton in the Democratic primary.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 NC Senate Race

News

Cheri Beasley Campaigning Across North Carolina
NBC NewsAugust 18, 2022 (05:10)

NBC’s Antonia Hylton joined Cheri Beasley as she campaigned in rural North Carolina ahead of a competitive Senate race in November. She discussed how her campaign is hoping to reach out to communities across the state to give them an edge.

Rep. Ted Budd, who was supported in the Republican primary by former President Donald Trump, will face off against Democrat Cheri Beasley in the closely watched North Carolina U.S. Senate election, according to race calls by The Associated Press.

In the GOP primary, Budd fended off opponents including former Gov. Pat McCrory.

Beasley, who was the first Black woman to serve as chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court, faced light opposition for the Democratic nomination. She coasted to the top after her main primary competitor dropped out of the race in December.

About

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[136]Lean RFebruary 25, 2022
Inside Elections[137]Lean RJanuary 7, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[138]Lean RNovember 3, 2021
Politico[139]Lean RApril 1, 2022
RCP[140]TossupJune 14, 2022
Fox News[141]Lean RMay 12, 2022

Ted Budd

Ted BuddCurrent Position: US Representative for District 13 since 2017
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Former Position(s): Farmer and gun store owner from 1996 – 2017

Featured Quote: 
Taxing everyday #crypto investors & innovators like this will undermine U.S. leadership in this industry. Totally self-destructive.

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Cheri Beasley

Cheri BeasleyCurrent Position: NC Supreme Court since 2012
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator

Cheri Lynn Beasley (born February 14, 1966) is an American attorney and jurist who served as the chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court from 2019 to 2020; she was appointed an associate justice in 2012. Beasley had previously served on the North Carolina Court of Appeals and as a district court judge in Cumberland County, North Carolina.

Beasley is the Democratic nominee in the 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina.

For more information, go to this post.

Wikipedia

The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022,[1] but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[2] Former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[3] and U.S. Representative Ted Budd won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.[4][5][6][7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls.[8][9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3% — a margin of 3.2%.[10]

Despite Budd's win in the election, it marked the Class III seat's worst performance by a Republican since 1998, and the best performance by a Democrat since 1998. It was also the closest election since 1998.

Republican primary

Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary.
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary.

With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive.[11] Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020.[12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in 2020 because his district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former president Donald Trump's daughter-in-law Lara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat.[11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham[13] and Kellyanne Conway,[11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary.[14] On April 14, 2021, former governor Pat McCrory announced his candidacy.[15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021.[4]

Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns.[16]

On June 5, 2021, the North Carolina Republican Party held a convention in Greenville. At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat.[17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the 2008 and 2016 gubernatorial elections.[18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage.[18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race.[5]

Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district.[19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race.[20]

The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium.[21][22] The first televised debate was held by WRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend.[23] A third debate was held on April 20 on Spectrum News 1. McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated.[24] A fourth debate, sponsored by Nexstar Media Group, was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, including WJZY, WNCN, WGHP, and WNCT-TV.[25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited.[26]

Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except for Mecklenburg, which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election.[27]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Ted Budd
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Organizations
Marjorie Eastman
U.S. senators
Pat McCrory
U.S. senators
U.S. governors
  • Jim Martin, 70th Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. Representative for NC-09 (1973–1985)[67]
Mark Walker[68][37]
Executive branch officials
U.S. governors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ted
Budd
Marjorie
Eastman
Pat
McCrory
Mark
Walker
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsApril 1 – May 5, 2022May 12, 202240.3%2.8%22.3%8.5%26.1%Budd +18.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd
Marjorie
Eastman
Pat
McCrory
Mark
Walker
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeMay 7–9, 2022467 (LV)± 4.5%43%2%16%12%12%[c]16%
co/efficient (R)May 4–5, 20221,089 (LV)± 3.0%48%3%20%13%5%11%
Atlantic Polling Strategies (R)April 25–28, 2022534 (LV)± 4.9%45%3%21%9%2%20%
Meredith CollegeApril 25–27, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%33%3%26%7%6%34%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A]April 24–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%43%4%23%9%1%20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)April 23–25, 20221,049 (LV)± 3.0%53%6%29%8%4%
Spry Strategies (R)April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%40%2%27%8%3%20%
SurveyUSAApril 6–10, 2022593 (LV)± 5.0%33%2%23%7%2%[d]33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A]April 3–5, 2022510 (LV)± 4.4%44%3%31%11%1%11%
Emerson CollegeApril 2–4, 2022508 (LV)± 4.3%38%1%22%9%8%[e]23%
Cygnal (R)April 1–3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%32%1%21%7%1%[f]39%
34%3%24%10%30%
Vitale & Associates (R)[B]March 22–23, 2022504 (LV)± 4.4%32%2%29%12%25%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[C]February 26 – March 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%25%4%31%16%23%
Ingress Research Group (R)[D]February 27, 2022864 (LV)± 3.3%18%4%29%11%35%
Remington Research Group (R)[E]February 2022– (LV)24%3%35%17%21%
Cygnal (R)January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%19%1%24%7%1%[g]49%
Strategic Partners Solutions (R) Archived January 13, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[F]January 5, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%21%1%30%8%<1%[h]41%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A]November 1–3, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%33%36%13%18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived October 25, 2021, at the Wayback Machine[F]October 16–19, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%25%40%8%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A]June 22–24, 2021509 (LV)± 4.4%21%45%13%21%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[C]June 9–10, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%19%45%12%23%
Spry Strategies (R)April 21–24, 2021700 (LV)± 4.4%5%40%11%44%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[F]April 6–8, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%9%48%13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd
Dan
Forest
George
Holding
Pat
McCrory
Tim
Moore
Mark
Robinson
Lara
Trump
Mark
Walker
OtherUndecided
Spry Strategies (R)April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%30%20%
Cygnal (R)January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%34%33%33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A]December 19–21, 2021504 (LV)± 4.4%47%43%10%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%2%36%36%10%15%
Cygnal (R)April 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%13%14%20%32%3%
Meredith College Archived March 22, 2021, at the Wayback MachineMarch 12–15, 2021217 (LV)± 6.3%6%17%27%7%4%39%
UNLV Lee Business SchoolNovember 30 – December 2, 2020221 (RV)± 7.0%3%23%2%24%7%3%39%

Debates

2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Ted BuddMarjorie EastmanPat McCroryMark Walker
1February 16, 2022John Locke Foundation
Carolina Journal
Jonah KaplanVideoAPPP
2April 14, 2022WRAL-TVLena TillettVideoANPP
3April 20, 2022Spectrum News 1Tim BoyumVideoAPPP
4April 26, 2022Nexstar Media GroupBob Buckley
Rod Carter
VideoANPP

Results

Results by county
  Budd
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McCrory
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[73]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTed Budd 448,128 58.61%
RepublicanPat McCrory188,13524.60%
RepublicanMark Walker70,4869.22%
RepublicanMarjorie Eastman22,5352.95%
RepublicanDavid Flaherty7,2650.95%
RepublicanKenneth Harper Jr.7,1290.93%
RepublicanJen Banwart3,0880.40%
RepublicanCharles Kenneth Moss2,9200.38%
RepublicanLeonard Bryant2,9060.38%
RepublicanBenjamin E. Griffiths2,8700.38%
RepublicanDebora Tshiovo2,7410.36%
RepublicanLee A. Brian2,2320.29%
RepublicanLichia Sibhatu2,1910.29%
RepublicanDrew Bulecza2,0220.26%
Total votes764,648 100.0%

Democratic primary

After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in the North Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead.[74][75] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties.[76] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020.[77] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race.[78] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27.[79]

In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run for North Carolina's 1st congressional district in 2022 after Representative G. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection.[80] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign.[81] She endorsed Beasley on November 30.[82]

On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley,[83] making Beasley the presumptive nominee.[84]

Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote.[85]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Greg Antoine, physician[30]
  • Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councillor (2019–present)[87]
  • James L. Carr Jr.[30]
  • Robert Colon[30]
  • Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond[30]
  • Constance Johnson, perennial candidate[88]
  • Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor[34]
  • B. K. Maginnis[30]
  • Rett Newton, former mayor of Beaufort (2017–2021)[89]
  • Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[30]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Tobias LaGrone
Cheri Beasley
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers and publications

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Cheri
Beasley
Jeff
Jackson
Rett
Newton
Erica
Smith
Richard
Watkins
OtherUndecided
Meredith CollegeApril 25–27, 2022392 (LV)± 4.9%49%16%[i]35%
SurveyUSAApril 6–10, 2022523 (LV)± 5.3%37%2%13%[j]49%
December 16, 2021Jackson withdraws from the race.
November 23, 2021Smith withdraws from the race.
November 17, 2021Watkins withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D)[G]November 1–7, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%39%25%36%
Public Policy Polling (D)[H]August 31 – September 1, 2021700 (LV)± 3.7%33%24%43%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%32%26%8%16%3%14%
Meredith CollegeMarch 12–15, 2021312 (LV)± 5.3%13%13%11%4%3%57%

Results

Results by county
  Beasley
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[73]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCheri Beasley 501,766 81.09%
DemocraticJames L. Carr Jr.21,9033.54%
DemocraticAlyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond21,0053.39%
DemocraticMarcus W. Williams17,4462.82%
DemocraticConstance Johnson12,5002.02%
DemocraticRett Newton10,0431.62%
DemocraticChrelle Booker9,9371.61%
DemocraticB. K. Maginnis7,0441.14%
DemocraticRobert Colon6,9041.12%
DemocraticGreg Antoine5,1790.84%
DemocraticTobias LaGrone5,0480.82%
Total votes618,775 100.0%

Independents and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

  • Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran[129]

Independents

Write-in candidates

  • Michelle Lewis, activist[130]

Failed to make general election ballot

General election

Debates

2022 North Carolina Senate general election debates[i]
No.DateOrganizerLocationKey:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Source
Cheri BeasleyTed Budd
1October 7, 2022Spectrum News 1 North CarolinaRaleighPP[132]
  1. ^ Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[133]Lean RFebruary 25, 2022
Inside Elections[134]Tilt ROctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[135]Lean RAugust 2, 2022
Politico[136]Lean RApril 1, 2022
RCP[137]Lean ROctober 26, 2022
Fox News[138]Lean RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[139]Lean ROctober 6, 2022
538[140]Likely RAugust 3, 2022
The Economist[141]Lean RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Ted Budd (R)
U.S. presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Newspaper
Organizations
Cheri Beasley (D)
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Michelle Lewis (write-in)
Declined to endorse
State officials

Fundraising

In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million.[183] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set by Cal Cunningham in 2020.[184]

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ted
Budd (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
[k]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 20 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202251.0%45.0%4.0%Budd +6.0
FiveThirtyEightNovember 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202249.5%45.2%5.3%Budd +4.3
270toWinNovember 2–7, 2022November 7, 202250.5%45.5%4.0%Budd +5.0
Average50.3%45.2%4.4%Budd +5.1
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)November 4–6, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%2%1%
Data for Progress (D)November 2–6, 20221,322 (LV)± 2.0%51%45%3%[l]
East Carolina UniversityNovember 1–3, 20221,183 (LV)± 3.3%52%47%1%[m]
ActiVoteAugust 5 – November 3, 2022250 (LV)± 6.0%48%47%5%[n]
Remington Research Group (R)November 1–2, 20221,140 (LV)± 2.9%50%43%2%[o]5%
CiviqsOctober 29 – November 2, 2022674 (LV)± 4.9%49%49%2%[p]1%
Meredith CollegeOctober 27–30, 2022724 (RV)± 3.4%44%43%7%[q]7%
Emerson CollegeOctober 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%45%3%[r]2%
51%46%4%[s]
Cygnal (R)[I]October 20–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%43%2%[t]7%
Marist CollegeOctober 17–20, 20221,130 (RV)± 3.8%44%44%2%[u]10%
899 (LV)± 4.2%49%45%1%[v]5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)October 16–19, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%48%44%3%[w]5%
East Carolina UniversityOctober 10–13, 2022902 (LV)± 3.8%50%44%2%[x]5%
Wick InsightsOctober 8–13, 20221,009 (LV)± 3.1%49%44%2%[y]5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[J]October 7–8, 2022606 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
SurveyUSASeptember 28 – October 2, 2022677 (LV)± 4.4%43%42%2%[z]13%
Cygnal (R)[I]September 24–26, 2022650 (LV)± 3.79%44%44%2%[aa]10%
Meredith CollegeSeptember 20–23, 2022731 (LV)± 3.3%41%41%4%[ab]14%
CiviqsSeptember 17–20, 2022586 (LV)± 5.5%48%49%1%[ac]2%
Global Strategy Group (D)[G]September 12–20, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%46%43%3%[ad]9%
East Carolina UniversitySeptember 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%49%46%1%[ae]4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)September 1–4, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%47%44%4%[af]6%
Public Policy Polling (D)August 29–30, 2022601 (V)± 4.0%41%42%6%[ag]12%
Cygnal (R)August 13–15, 2022615 (LV)± 3.9%42%42%3%[ah]13%
Blueprint Polling (D)August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%42%46%12%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[K]July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%40%43%2%15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)June 29 – July 1, 20221,068 (LV)± 2.9%48%45%4%[ai]3%
Cygnal (R)June 17–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%4%[aj]11%
SurveyUSAJune 8–12, 2022650 (LV)± 5.1%40%44%2%[ak]14%
Cygnal (R)May 21–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%42%3%[al]12%
East Carolina UniversityMay 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%49%42%2%7%
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived May 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[L]May 12–16, 2022500 (RV)± 4.4%46%45%10%
Emerson CollegeMay 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%41%10%
Global Strategy Group (D)[G]April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%45%10%
Emerson CollegeApril 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%50%43%8%
Cygnal (R)March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%45%43%12%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesNovember 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%37%36%3%18%
757 (LV)± 3.6%40%39%3%16%
Hypothetical polling
Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marjorie
Eastman (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson CollegeApril 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%44%44%12%
Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Pat
McCrory (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeMay 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%44%17%
Global Strategy Group (D)[G]April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%44%11%
Emerson CollegeApril 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%17%
Cygnal (R)March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%41%41%18%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesNovember 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%39%37%3%15%
757 (LV)± 3.6%42%40%3%13%
Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Walker (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson CollegeApril 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R)March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%50%44%7%
Spry Strategies (R)August 17, 2021303 (LV)± 5.6%46%34%5%15%
Cygnal (R)May 6–8, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%6%
Cygnal (R)March 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina[185]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTed Budd 1,905,786 50.50% −0.56%
DemocraticCheri Beasley1,784,04947.27%+1.90%
LibertarianShannon W. Bray51,6401.37%−2.20%
GreenMatthew Hoh29,9340.79%N/A
Write-in2,5150.07%N/A
Total votes3,773,924 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Budd and Beasley each won 7 of 14 congressional districts.[186]

DistrictBuddBeasleyRepresentative
1st48.8%49.3%G. K. Butterfield (117th Congress)
Don Davis (118th Congress)
2nd34%63%Deborah Ross
3rd64%34%Greg Murphy
4th31%67%David Price (117th Congress)
Valerie Foushee (118th Congress)
5th60%37%Virginia Foxx
6th45%53%Kathy Manning
7th56%42%David Rouzer
8th68%30%Dan Bishop
9th54%44%Richard Hudson
10th70%28%Patrick McHenry
11th53%45%Madison Cawthorn (117th Congress)
Chuck Edwards (118th Congress)
12th36%62%Alma Adams
13th48%50%Wiley Nickel
14th41%57%Jeff Jackson

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0%
  4. ^ Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  5. ^ Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0%
  6. ^ Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  7. ^ Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0%
  8. ^ Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0%
  9. ^ Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6%
  10. ^ Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0%
  11. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  13. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  14. ^ Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1%
  15. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  17. ^ Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  21. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%
  22. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  23. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  24. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  26. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  27. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  28. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  30. ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1%
  31. ^ Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1%
  32. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ^ Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  34. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  35. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  36. ^ Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  37. ^ Bray (L) with 2%
  38. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
  2. ^ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition
  3. ^ a b Poll conducted for Budd's campaign
  4. ^ Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker
  5. ^ Poll conducted for Walker's campaign
  6. ^ a b c Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
  7. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign
  8. ^ Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
  9. ^ a b Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley
  11. ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

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